Mac Musings
Macworld Prediction Scorecard
4 January 2000 - Dan Knight - Tip Jar
This is not a rumor site. I follow the rumor sites. I follow the broader PC market. I try to make an educated guess without the benefit of moles at Apple or elsewhere.
This is your chance to see if my Macworld predictions are in the ballpark - or maybe I don't have a clue. Predictions are from Predictions for Macworld Expo published on Dec. 22, except for the dual-processor G4, which I didn't predict at that time.
Probability is on a scale of 0 to 05.
- 0: no way
- 1: not at all likely
- 2: worse than even odds
- 3: better than even odds
- 4: almost a certainty
- 5: count on it
A few things I've added with a 0 score because I'm convinced they won't happen - yet.
|
Prediction |
Probability |
Rating |
|
iMac: 50 MHz faster |
4 |
______ |
|
iMac: DVD for $999 model |
3 |
______ |
|
iMac: 17" screen |
0 |
______ |
|
G4/500 |
5 |
______ |
|
G4/550+ |
2 |
______ |
|
G4 dual CPU |
3 |
______ |
|
G4 w/3dfx video |
0 |
______ |
|
iBook: 64 MB |
5 |
______ |
|
iBook: faster |
3 |
______ |
|
iBook: DVD |
1 |
______ |
|
iBook: slot loading drive |
1 |
______ |
|
iBook: business color |
3 |
______ |
|
Pismo: announced |
5 |
______ |
|
Pismo: faster |
5 |
______ |
|
Pismo: 1" thick |
3 |
______ |
|
Pismo: DVD on all |
4 |
______ |
|
Pismo: AirPort |
5 |
______ |
|
Pismo: more pixels |
2 |
______ |
|
Pismo: lighter |
5 |
______ |
|
Pismo: smaller footprint |
0 |
______ |
|
Pismo: G4 CPU |
0 |
______ |
|
18" Studio Display |
4 |
______ |
|
Thin/light PowerBook |
2 |
______ |
|
Apple PDA |
0 |
______ |
|
Something unexpected |
5 |
______ |
|
Steve Jobs resigns or new Apple CEO |
0 |
______ |
I'd love a thin/light PowerBook, hope Apple will do it, but remain skeptical. As for the rest, anything rated 3 or higher I fully expect, 0-1 I don't, and 2 is wishful thinking.
One possibility I won't even guess about but would love to see: Apple keeps G4/350 in the line at an even lower price - one of at least 4 speed options for the Power Mac G4.
Have fun rating me, whether from the Macworld floor or visiting
via the Internet. 
- Be sure to read Egg on My Face.
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Dan Knight has been using Macs since 1986, sold Macs for several years, supported them for many more years, and has been publishing Low End Mac since April 1997. If you find Dan's articles helpful, please consider making a donation to his tip jar.
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